I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
affordable house cleaning Wilmette ..Outlined below are some of the advantages and disadvantages of... Read More
Ever wondered what is a mutual fund? A mutual fund... Read More
The Bollinger Band theory is designed to depict the volatility... Read More
It is finally catching up with them. The brokerage companies... Read More
For years investors have been taught to look into the... Read More
What is leverage?Here is a definition of leverage from an... Read More
Mutual funds were created with the idea that one person... Read More
Picture one of those clubs where only the real heavyweights... Read More
On the 40 year journey through the turmoil of a... Read More
Have you bought any mutual funds this year or late... Read More
The bear market that showed up at the end of... Read More
The Law of Chaos is the theory of random unpredictable... Read More
I don't know what kind it is, but I saw... Read More
Being wrong is OK, but let's not carry it to... Read More
∙ Make every investment in the stock market a long-term... Read More
With all the bad news that has been dumped upon... Read More
If there is one term over-used when talking about making... Read More
I would like to share with the reader an article... Read More
Most stock traders know that momentum trading can be a... Read More
I feel that an investment strategy in the stock market... Read More
Money management starts with protecting your capital, realizing profits and... Read More
Reach in your pocket and take out that big roll... Read More
Trading is a fascinating activity.There are so many layers to... Read More
Have you been listening to the talking heads on CNBC-TV?... Read More
According to Investopedia Inc. the penny stock market has seen... Read More
quick home cleaning Northbrook ..You probably know the story of Sherlock Holmes and the... Read More
I go to the Money Show every year to visit... Read More
Analyzing growth stocks is an important focus for any investor.... Read More
What does it mean to short a stock?This means that... Read More
When we go to the circus we see a trapeze... Read More
It has often been said that there is only two... Read More
The trash business in its efforts to cook their books... Read More
I was devastated!I just couldn't believe it. I was 10... Read More
Success in small cap & micro cap stock trading like... Read More
One of the big advertising kicks today from mutual funds... Read More
It is finally catching up with them. The brokerage companies... Read More
Fundamental analysis.Fundamentals analysis says the best way to predict the... Read More
How do you invest? What do you really pay? At... Read More
What is the Series 7 Exam? If you... Read More
When you invest in the stock market for ever-increasing cash... Read More
It is difficult to make money in a bull market,... Read More
We have two candidates for president that have really different... Read More
You must take the time once a month to review... Read More
One of the basic laws of physics states that a... Read More
Because you don't feel too sure about which stock or... Read More
The Law of Chaos is the theory of random unpredictable... Read More
Professional stock options traders use the term lean to refer... Read More
Today's society gives special recognition to alcoholics, sexaholics, binge-aholics, shopaholics,... Read More
Have you ever thought of investing? Do you have a... Read More
In November of 2000 when the NASDAQ was trading at... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |