I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
no-contract cleaning service Glenview ..Sometimes the best way of lowering exposure to risk is... Read More
A Guide to Using Stop Loss Orders Stop losses are... Read More
During the month of January the Dow Jones Industrial Average,... Read More
How often have you come across an advertisement or e-mail... Read More
How can you dispel an illusion unless you look directly... Read More
Intervention. Now don't let that big word scare you. The... Read More
Invest in the stock market for the RIGHT reason, using... Read More
It looks like the market is ready to start up... Read More
When you stand on the ocean shore and watch the... Read More
Starbucks earnings are up again and so is their stock... Read More
I am taking the time to help others learn the... Read More
For some "long term" would mean holding a stock position... Read More
Alfred Winslow Jones started hedge funds in 1949. He was... Read More
(1) Stock Market is Tough Place to Make Any Money... Read More
Every day I see in the financial section of newspapers... Read More
If there is one term over-used when talking about making... Read More
Wall Street has been preaching for years and years to... Read More
It is difficult to make money in a bull market,... Read More
Because you don't feel too sure about which stock or... Read More
If you're like many investors who squander those small dividend... Read More
Stock investment advice is easy to find. Do you get... Read More
I constantly hear the talking heads on CNBC-TV, the radio... Read More
The single most expensive stock market trades are those made... Read More
Any online investor / trader seeks an excellent off or... Read More
A common problem I often see when working with living... Read More
house cleaning company Glencoe ..Most stock market traders have a favorite technical indicator.The one... Read More
If you're like many investors who squander those small dividend... Read More
The ABC's of Stock Trading SuccessStock trading success...why is it... Read More
∙ Make every investment in the stock market a long-term... Read More
I was recently interviewed for a press release through a... Read More
Let's hope you did not have any of the Enron... Read More
The date October 13, 2000 will forever be embedded in... Read More
One of the greatest challenges of investing in stocks is... Read More
What a great statement!I just heard someone use it in... Read More
The trash business in its efforts to cook their books... Read More
When it comes to stock market trading it PAYS to... Read More
Index Fund Trading can be one of the most profitable...or... Read More
When is a dividend not a dividend?The latest thing "conservative"... Read More
Sometime around 1980, can't remember exactly, there was a flight... Read More
Being wrong is OK, but let's not carry it to... Read More
Duck! No I don't mean a quack, quack. I meant... Read More
Buy high and sell low -- It's not a typo.Millions... Read More
No, this is not a symbol for some Latin number.... Read More
Several times each month I am solicited by various market... Read More
Well maybe that's overstating it a little, but it's certainly... Read More
What the heck am I talking about?It is often said... Read More
How many times has this happened to you? You're at... Read More
Since I can remember, and that's a long time ago,... Read More
How is it possible that trash Companies are posting less... Read More
Sometimes the best way of lowering exposure to risk is... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |