I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
housekeepers near Buffalo Grove ..There are so many kinds of work that needs to... Read More
Every broker and financial planner will tell you that you... Read More
Let's assume that you want to make some serious money... Read More
Fundamental analysis.Fundamentals analysis says the best way to predict the... Read More
How often have you come across an advertisement or e-mail... Read More
The stock market can present you with a lot of... Read More
One of the big advertising kicks today from mutual funds... Read More
I am sure that if you have a brokerage account... Read More
When you stand on the ocean shore and watch the... Read More
First let's see what protectionism is. According to Mr. Webster... Read More
Recently I was invited to appear on a live CNNfn... Read More
The stock market often closes a week in the middle... Read More
I constantly hear the talking heads on CNBC-TV, the radio... Read More
When it comes to mutual funds, there is a lot... Read More
Let me start by saying that...Most online brokers do not... Read More
For years I have been saying you must have a... Read More
On Monday, November 25, 2000 Investor's Business Daily listed on... Read More
Look back over the years and try to remember how... Read More
Several times each month I am solicited by various market... Read More
If you have been dealing with mutual funds for any... Read More
Ever have one of those sample boxes of candy? Each... Read More
We've all heard of the stock market and probably have... Read More
Success in small cap & micro cap stock trading like... Read More
We need a rabbit!This was a pretty horrible week for... Read More
Sidney felt sick as she looked at her latest OptionsXpress... Read More
custom home cleaning Mundelein ..During the month of January the Dow Jones Industrial Average,... Read More
You'd have had to be living on a desert island... Read More
The Bollinger Band theory is designed to depict the volatility... Read More
I read a comment by a forum member on another... Read More
Professional stock options traders use the term lean to refer... Read More
It is commonly reported that the stock market averages about... Read More
If you are serious about making and keeping money by... Read More
For some "long term" would mean holding a stock position... Read More
Ever have one of those sample boxes of candy? Each... Read More
Very few people, even professionals, have heard of the Dalbar... Read More
To begin, you might look at playing the stock market... Read More
How many people went to a cash position this week?... Read More
With all the bad news that has been dumped upon... Read More
If you're a normal human being, your need to feel... Read More
If you're like many investors who squander those small dividend... Read More
When it comes to 401k's there is an overabundance of... Read More
Do you own any mutual funds? In an IRA or... Read More
The date October 13, 2000 will forever be embedded in... Read More
A stock market index is a statistical measure of changes... Read More
AS BUILDERS BEGIN WORK ON THE FREEDOM TOWER in New... Read More
Ever notice how behavior in one area of life can... Read More
Two weeks ago I wrote about what the Securities and... Read More
This article describes the model of a natural relationship between... Read More
I have been trading for several decades and was an... Read More
Inverted interest rates? What's that? Who cares? Even if you... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |