I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
local house cleaners Park Ridge ..To become a successful trader you must have some kind... Read More
Using Swing Trading Strategies and Technical Analysis when Trading Stocks... Read More
Stocks breakout from properly formed bases everyday but many investors... Read More
Time to look back2004 is over, now we are in... Read More
When is a dividend not a dividend?The latest thing "conservative"... Read More
Unfortunately, most of you who are reading my column are... Read More
Sometime around 1980, can't remember exactly, there was a flight... Read More
Are you one of those many people who dread reading... Read More
The stock market is very unstable at this time going... Read More
On November 17 I bought 7 different mutual funds and... Read More
If you are fed up with early redemption charges and... Read More
"There is nothing more frightful than ignorance in action!" Johann... Read More
For years I have been saying you must have a... Read More
Before we get into all the good news out there,... Read More
Are you paying any attention to your retirement savings? Do... Read More
I read a comment by a forum member on another... Read More
"If you don't know where you are going, any road... Read More
If you want one.And I don't recommend any broker with... Read More
The Shadow knows. There used to be a radio program... Read More
Mutual funds were created with the idea that one person... Read More
One of the great "secrets" of successful people is discipline... Read More
I would like to share with the reader an article... Read More
If you have a pension plan at work you will... Read More
Ever jumped out of an airplane? It's OK if you... Read More
Question: How does it get better when it gets worse?Last... Read More
move out cleaning service Glenview ..Several times each month I am solicited by various market... Read More
What are you thinking when it comes to your no... Read More
Profitable day traders recognize that momentum trading is among the... Read More
Recently I watched my favorite football team lose a vital... Read More
If there is one term over-used when talking about making... Read More
As an investor you will want to check out any... Read More
One of the greatest challenges of investing in stocks is... Read More
You've decided to try your luck at trading stocks or... Read More
Robert Rodriguez likes to buy stocks at their lows. When... Read More
A stock market index is a statistical measure of changes... Read More
This is an extract of an article which was first... Read More
Have you seen all those big full page ads for... Read More
You'd have had to be living on a desert island... Read More
Mutual funds and brokers are always preaching not to buy... Read More
Did you know you can make money (and a lot... Read More
The greatest stock market myth is the idea that investing... Read More
Are you attracted to the idea of being in control... Read More
The broker told me not to sell because the mutual... Read More
As a novice trader, you'll often feel the need to... Read More
"If you don't know where you are going, any road... Read More
We've all heard of the stock market and probably have... Read More
Starbucks earnings are up again and so is their stock... Read More
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall and all the King's... Read More
Suppose your position has made a big move and you... Read More
Every year I go to the Money Show in Orlando,... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |