One of the greatest challenges of investing in stocks is developing a "sell discipline". Some of the most adept investors struggle with the decision of when to sell.
First, recognize that there are no absolute formulas to tell us to sell at precisely the right time. Instead, we'll need to consider a bundle of factors such as the investment's characteristics, the broad economy, and your own needs, with an eye to market trends. The answer will come from some combination of these hard-to-quantify characteristics.
If you'll need cash soon, for whatever reason, you should be more ready to sell, especially if a stock becomes less of a sure thing. Similarly, if the economy is weak, we might be more motivated to take profits (or even losses) in stocks which are sensitive to economic swings, while a strong economy might allow us to hold tight.
Most important, however, is the intrinsic value of the stock itself. A simple rule plays out here: buy when a stock is under-valued (when the stock sells for less than its intrinsic value), and sell when it is over-valued (priced above intrinsic value). The trick is measuring intrinsic value, which can be done many different ways. We'll talk about measuring intrinsic value more at another time, but regardless of how we measure it, we had to have an idea of what the company was actually worth when we bought it. So, if we reach that target, we can start thinking about taking profits. It isn't always necessary to sell out immediately, though. For a pure value stock, we should sell somewhere in that range, but if the company is expected to grow, we can wait longer and take advantage of that growth. Perhaps, as a rule of thumb, wait until the stock reaches a price double what we think it's worth. Of course, this is a personal decision, too, and depends on how patient you are, and how much you have invested. At this point, the "easy money" has already been made.
Market Trends. It is our firm position that market trends alone should never lead to buying or selling a stock. However, if we've already decided to sell, trend indicators, used carefully, can enhance profits. For example, if a stock is in a solid uptrend that shows no signs of slowing, it may be profitable to wait for the stock to approach a short-term top before selling. Beware that you don't hold too long. Better to sell early than late. Eventually the market will catch on to reality, so if your evaluation of the stock is right, the risk of holding on too long can be far greater than the small benefit from holding out for that extra dollar.
A few other errors to avoid:
Don't avoid selling because you're emotionally attached to a stock. Circumstances change over time. There's no reason to beat yourself up over it. Just dump the loser and move on.
Don't sell when panicked. Panic is an emotional response, and usually wells up when things aren't going your way but you can't tell why. Know why you want to act. Until you can make a judgment about why to sell, it's probably best to hold on and wait out the fear.
Don't sell when worried. In many ways, worry is similar to panic, if a bit milder. It is still an emotion, and one that should be controlled. Stocks are often said to "climb a wall of worry", which means that they will ease upward through difficult times. When news is worrisome, but not devastating, the only remaining catalysts are good things, as all the bad news has probably already been factored in by selling among the worrywarts.
Don't sell when bored. Just because a stock isn't moving doesn't mean it was a bad selection. It may just indicate that you're smarter (and therefore earlier) than the market hordes. If you're still convinced it was a good choice, hold firm and wait for everyone to catch on to your wisdom. Especially with value stocks, it can often take a year or longer before the mainstream recognizes a good stock, and that's when the price will start moving. Patience is a virtue.
In the end, every selling decision is a personal one, and must balance out all the factors we've mentioned. The most important rule, of course, is to sell when it benefits YOU.
To send comments or to learn more about Scott Pearson's Investment Management Services, visit http://www.valueview.net
Scott Pearson is an investment advisor, writer, editor, instructor, and business leader. As editor and publisher of Investor's Value View, a national investment newsletter, he provides general money tips and investment advice to readers, and demonstrates a special knack for locating the up-and-coming stocks in the burgeoning high-tech industries. As President and Chief Investment Officer of Value View Financial Corp., he offers investment management services to a wide variety of clients.
cleaning help near Mundelein ..When is a dividend not a dividend?The latest thing "conservative"... Read More
One of the most believed bits of conventional wisdom from... Read More
If you have a pension plan at work you will... Read More
Stocks breakout from properly formed bases everyday but many investors... Read More
There is so much involved in developing peak performance, that... Read More
When it comes to stock market trading it PAYS to... Read More
Before we get into all the good news out there,... Read More
Well maybe that's overstating it a little, but it's certainly... Read More
You read and hear a lot about hedge funds. Unfortunately,... Read More
Have you been listening to the talking heads on CNBC-TV?... Read More
Outlined below are some of the advantages and disadvantages of... Read More
Trading is a fascinating activity.There are so many layers to... Read More
This is a rather simple strategy with which I am... Read More
How many times has this happened to you? You're at... Read More
The ABC's of Stock Trading SuccessStock trading success...why is it... Read More
Fundamental analysis.Fundamentals analysis says the best way to predict the... Read More
On the 40 year journey through the turmoil of a... Read More
Regardless of the fact that the world's stock markets have... Read More
One of the things people are always asking me is... Read More
If you don't know where you are going any road... Read More
There is no question that the stock market is being... Read More
The Law of Chaos is the theory of random unpredictable... Read More
If you go to Haiti or other places in the... Read More
When the stock market is going up and all your... Read More
All of the talking heads have been telling us that... Read More
reliable maid service Wilmette ..There are red lights, green lights, blue lights and spot... Read More
With the stock market stubbornly refusing to settle down and... Read More
Even if you don't own any of their stock or... Read More
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall and all the King's... Read More
There are formulas for just about everything, but it has... Read More
There can't be many traders who haven't at least considered... Read More
According to Investopedia Inc. the penny stock market has seen... Read More
If you're like many investors who squander those small dividend... Read More
If you have talked to a stock broker or financial... Read More
You probably have been told that options are risky. Even... Read More
An insane person cannot evaluate an insane evaluation system.As you... Read More
Everything you invest in has risk so you want to... Read More
AS BUILDERS BEGIN WORK ON THE FREEDOM TOWER in New... Read More
Unfortunately, most of you who are reading my column are... Read More
At some time in your life you have been on... Read More
Mutual funds by definition are a mixed bag of stocks,... Read More
It has fallen upon the consumer to make our economy... Read More
An investor can find and research the best stock on... Read More
When you become interested in a stock or mutual fund... Read More
Stock trading remains a very competitive field and the stock... Read More
The Law of Chaos is the theory of random unpredictable... Read More
Every day I hear from the "experts" on CNBC-TV and... Read More
The trading method you employ to approach the stock market... Read More
Success in small cap & micro cap stock trading like... Read More
The debate rages all over Eastern and Central Europe, in... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |