Trading Tips No 2: The Big Lie in the Stock Market

It is commonly reported that the stock market averages about 10% per year return over the long term (decades). So the investor that buys and holds a diversified portfolio of stocks or mutual funds is led to believe that their portfolio will grow by 10% per year on average. You know the mantra, “Not to worry, I’m a long term investor. On average, I’m earning 10% per year.”

There is only one problem here. The facts, as you will see in a moment, state otherwise.

Let’s assume for a moment that an investor could match the stock market average return of 10% per year (not likely, by the way, as most professionals fall short of this goal). Further assume the market averages 10% per year over a four year period:

Year - Ac Size - YR Return - Av Return - Av Return

0 $100,000

1 $ 80,000 -20% -20% -20%

2 $ 72,000 -10% -15% -14%

3 $ 93,000 +30% 0% -2%

4 $131,040 +40% 10% +7%

From the above example, you can see that our investor who managed to match the stock market performance year by year finished with an average portfolio return of only 7%, not 10%. Underperforming the stock market averages will always be the case, no matter what market period is selected - past, present, or future. So, can you expect to average 10% a year in a diversified portfolio of stocks and mutual funds (that you buy and hold) in a market that averages 10% per year? The answer is clearly, “No!”

This is one reason for considering alternative investments for a portion of your portfolio, such as a good trading system that provides superior returns in non-correlated markets.

-=-=-==-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
If you would like to learn about the stock market and
you have a computer and a burning desire to seize
success, then you have what it takes to personally
unearth Bill’s Astonishing, step by step trading secrets
…BUT ONLY FOR A LIMITED TIME.

stock market
-=-=-==-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

house refresh service Lincolnshire ..
In The News:

Apple releases emergency patches for two zero-day vulnerabilities actively exploited in attacks. iPhone and iPad users urged to update immediately.
DoorDash launches Zesty, an AI-powered social app that recommends restaurants through conversational search, now testing in San Francisco and New York.
Cybersecurity firm Infoblox reveals that over 90 percent of parked domains now redirect visitors to scams and malware, making simple typos extremely dangerous.
The Fox News AI Newsletter covers the latest artificial intelligence technology advancements, including the challenges and opportunities AI presents now and for the future.
GPT-5.2 is now live for all ChatGPT users with improved coding, writing and image interpretation, with Kurt Knutsson offering his review.
New iPhone replacement scam uses pressure tactics and fake carrier calls to steal devices from buyers. Criminals claim shipping errors and demand urgent returns.
Amazon Ring's new facial recognition feature sparks privacy controversy as Electronic Frontier Foundation critics argue the AI upgrade expands surveillance risks.
New Android banking trojan Sturnus steals credentials, reads encrypted messages and controls devices.
Denmark's 3D-printed student village proves automation builds 36 apartments faster than traditional methods. Skovsporet project shows housing future.
Discover Android's new Sound Notifications feature that alerts you to smoke alarms, doorbells, and baby cries even when wearing headphones.
New SantaStealer malware reportedly threatens holiday shoppers with password theft. This Christmas-themed info-stealer targets browsers and crypto wallets.
The Christmas season brings a surge in Netflix phishing scams targeting shoppers with fake emails. Stacey P received convincing scam but verified account first.
San Francisco Giants invite Jamie Grohsong to throw ceremonial first pitch at Oracle Park after he learned to play baseball with a bionic hand following an injury.
FBI warns cybercriminals are stealing family photos from social media to create fake proof of life images in virtual kidnapping scams targeting victims.
Instagram's new 'Your Algorithm' tool lets you control your Reels feed in real time. The app now gives you power to customize what videos you see.
Major Marquis fintech breach exposes 400,000-plus Americans' data through unpatched SonicWall vulnerability, with Texas hardest hit at 354,000 affected.
Free up iPhone storage fast by clearing large photos and videos from Messages app. Simple steps for iOS users to delete attachments without losing chats.
Scammers are flooding inboxes with fake tracking alerts that mimic real carriers, exploiting the holiday rush to steal logins and personal data.
The Fox News AI Newsletter brings you the latest news on AI technology advancements and the challenges and opportunities AI presents now and for the future.
Texas family reunites with missing 11-year-old cat Grayson after 103 days using Petco Love Lost's AI photo matching technology and community help.
Tired of AI customer service loops? These insider tricks help you escape "frustration AI" and get real human help when you need it most for urgent issues.
Unlock richer audio from your streaming apps with simple tweaks to volume normalization, equalizer settings, and quality preferences for cleaner sound.
Scammers are sending fake Facebook settlement payout emails that mimic legitimate notices from the privacy settlement administrator to deceive users.
Holiday shopping scams surge as fake refund emails target distracted consumers during Black Friday and holiday seasons, costing Americans billions annually.
The AI-powered IRMO M1 exoskeleton features four modes, including turbo, eco, training and rest for hiking, running, cycling and sports with eight-hour battery life.

How To Buy And Hold

One of the most believed bits of conventional wisdom from... Read More

Advisory News Letters

Several times each month I am solicited by various market... Read More

Getting Even

I know there are a lot of you out there... Read More

The Bottom?

Every day I hear someone on CNBC proclaim that "this... Read More

Forecasting the Stock Market

Every day I see in the financial section of newspapers... Read More

I Love To Lose Money

Well, not really. What I mean is I don't mind... Read More

Buy and Hold Investment Philosophy

Wall Street has been preaching the doctrine of Buy and... Read More

Play another Day

Money management starts with protecting your capital, realizing profits and... Read More

Understanding the Bulls and the Bears

If you've ever flipped on the television to CNN Financial... Read More

The Club

Yesterday I received my monthly issue of MONEY magazine. This... Read More

How to Pay Less and Get More: Discount Broker vs Professional

How do you invest? What do you really pay? At... Read More

You Don?t HAVE To Be Trading

As a novice trader, you'll often feel the need to... Read More

Prospering with Mutual Funds: How Anyone can ?Afford? an Investment Advisor

Recently I was invited to appear on a live CNNfn... Read More

How to Make Big Money Safely in Stock Market

(1) Stock Market is Tough Place to Make Any Money... Read More

Invest In The Stock Market For The RIGHT Reason, Using The RIGHT Choices

Invest in the stock market for the RIGHT reason, using... Read More

Investment Attorneys and Garbage Stocks

How is it possible that trash Companies are posting less... Read More

Where Is The Rabbit?

We need a rabbit!This was a pretty horrible week for... Read More

Stuff

I continually hear from economists, talking heads, other market letter... Read More

Mid-Cap Stocks: Asset Class with an Identity Crisis

Much like the middle child, mid-cap stocks have long struggled... Read More

Defining a Long-Term Investment in the Stock Market

For some "long term" would mean holding a stock position... Read More

Traders, Defend Against the Dreaded Death Spiral.

It has often been said that there is only two... Read More

Precision Money Management

This article describes the model of a natural relationship between... Read More

Lies, Damn Lies and Mutual Fund Returns

How many times has this happened to you? You're at... Read More

Maximizing a Stock Market Investment

Maximizing a stock market investmentThere are several factors an investor... Read More

Struggling Stocks, Booming Commodities

04/28/2005NASDAQ dropped -12.5% year to date in 2005. S&P500 index... Read More

licensed cleaning services Lake Forest ..