In light of the dominant mindset overshadowing the market these days, a breath of fresh air might be welcome. This month, we're devoting this space to wisdom from Warren Buffett, the world's richest investor. Buffett is a renowned value investor who follows Benjamin Graham's timeworn principles, a standard not unlike our own focus. Alas, in times like these, value investing has fallen out of favor; a sad situation, as these times are ideal for value hunters. Buffett writes prolifically every year in his company's annual report, and provides tidbits of long-lasting wisdom. Here are some excerpts that may help bring perspective to today's investor:
"2000. We purchased several companies whose earnings will almost certainly decline from peaks they reached in 1999 and 2000. The declines make no difference to us, given that we expect all of our businesses to now and then have ups and downs. (Only in the sales presentations of investments banks do earnings move forever upward.) We don't care about the bumps; what matters are the overall results. But the decisions of other people are sometimes affected by the near term outlook, which can both spur sellers and temper the enthusiasm of purchasers who might otherwise compete with us.
1990. The term "earnings" has a precise ring to it. And when an earnings figure is accompanied by an unqualified auditor's certificate, a na?ve reader might think it comparable in certitude to pi, calculated to dozens of decimal places. In reality, however, earnings can be as pliable as putty when a charlatan heads the company reporting them. Eventually truth will surface, but in the meantime a lot of money can change hands. Indeed, some important American fortunes have been created by the monetization of accounting mirages. Funny business in accounting is not new. For connoisseurs of chicanery, I have anunpublished satire on accounting practices written by Ben Graham in 1936. Alas, excesses similar to those he then lampooned have many times since found their way into the financial statements of major American corporations and been duly certified by big-name auditors. Clearly, investors must always keep their guard up and use accounting numbers as a beginning, not an end, in their attempts to calculate true "economic earnings" accruing to them.
2001. Two years ago, reporting on 1999, I said that we had experienced both the worst absolute and relative performance in our history. I added that "relative results are what concern us," a viewpoint I've had since forming my first investment partnership on May 5, 1956. Meeting with my seven founding limited partners that evening, I gave them a short paper titled "The Ground Rules" that included this sentence: "Whether we do a good job or a poor job is to be measured against the general experience in securities. "We initially used the Dow Jones Industrials as our benchmark, but shifted to the S&P 500 when that index became widely used. Some people disagree with our focus on relative figures, arguing that "you can't eat relative performance." But if you expect? As Charlie Munger, Berkshire's Vice Chairman, and I do? That owning the S&P 500 will produce reasonably satisfactory results over time, it follows that, for long-term investors, gaining small advantages annually over that index must prove rewarding. Just as you can eat well throughout the year if you own a profitable, but highly seasonal, business such as See's (which loses considerable money during the summer months) so, too, can you regularly feast on investment returns that beat the averages, however variable the absolute numbers may be.
1994. Thirty years ago, no one could have foreseen the huge expansion of the Vietnam War, wage and price controls, two oil shocks, the resignation of a president, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, a one-day drop in the Dow of 508 points, or treasury bill yields fluctuating between 2.8% and 17.4%.
But, surprise none of these blockbuster events made the slightest dent in Ben Graham's investment principles. Nor did they render unsound the negotiated purchases of fine businesses at sensible prices. Imagine the cost to us, then, if we had let a fear of unknowns cause us to defer or alter the deployment of capital. Indeed, we have usually made our best purchases when apprehensions about some macro event were at a peak. Fear is the foe of the faddist, but the friend of the fundamentalist.
A different set of major shocks is sure to occur in the next 30 years. We will neither try to predict these or to profit from them. If we can identify businesses similar to those we have purchased in the past, external surprises will have little effect on our long-term results.
Stock prices will continue to fluctuate sometimes sharply and the economy will have its ups and down. Over time, we believe it highly probable that the sort of businesses we own will continue to increase in value at a satisfactory rate.
The future is never clear, you pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus. Uncertainty actually is the friend of the buyer of long-term values."
To send comments or to learn more about Scott Pearson's Investment Advisor Services, visit http://www.valueview.net
Scott Pearson is an investment advisor, writer, editor, instructor, and business leader. As President and Chief Investment Officer of Value View Financial Corp., he offers investment management services to a wide variety of clients. His own newsletter, Investor's Value View, is distributed worldwide and provides general money tips and investment advice to readers both internationally, and in the U.S.
executive chauffeured services Bradford .. Madison to Airport carMoney can be your servant or it can be your... Read More
Very few people whom I know are familiar with the... Read More
Loose change that is, if you want a easy way... Read More
When I was a student in London, I had a... Read More
Top Investment PerformanceThroughout history, many coin collections have produced substantial... Read More
Let's begin this lesson with a definition of the term... Read More
The vast majority of working people are in debt. The... Read More
Have you ever had that feeling where you could not... Read More
At any time in history, no matter what the current... Read More
Despite what you may have read or heard, anyone is... Read More
When Ben Franklin said "a penny saved is a penny... Read More
Living on credit is fashionable. Indulging oneself is fashionable. Saving... Read More
As a woman Netpreneur, I sat down via e-mail with... Read More
Wealth - an abundance of values. Each of us determines... Read More
Now is a great time to make it a habit... Read More
Feng shui coins can allow you, among other things, to... Read More
In theory the idea of generating additional (and passive) business... Read More
We all go to school for about twelve years, kindergarten... Read More
Building wealth is as simple as saving a little bit... Read More
Many people don't realize how much money they spend on... Read More
AS THE MARKET FLIES HIGHER, GOOD BUYS ARE BECOMING HARDER... Read More
Masters degree not required...just a little common sense, a $5.00... Read More
Financial freedom is the power to do what you will... Read More
Remember the bloodied face of Randall "Tex" Cobb?He was a... Read More
The four main steps in building a wealth cycle foundation... Read More
O'Hare Chicago prom limo ..Early in my legal career I represented two young women... Read More
A residual income is one that comes in no matter... Read More
This retirement account is so new and unique that you... Read More
The word 'diversity' is a unique one. It can represent... Read More
When Building Wealth by Russ Whitney was released a few... Read More
In his best selling book, "Rich Dad, Poor Dad, Robert... Read More
To budget, to have a budget and to be on... Read More
Uncle Sam and his band of merry-men, better known as... Read More
Have you seen a picture of the Parthenon in Athens,... Read More
AS THE MARKET FLIES HIGHER, GOOD BUYS ARE BECOMING HARDER... Read More
At any time in history, no matter what the current... Read More
In theory the idea of generating additional (and passive) business... Read More
No one has complete control over their thoughts. But with... Read More
One very important wealth creating habit is to set up... Read More
Vacation season is upon us and it can be tempting... Read More
The business of banking has changed dramatically over the last... Read More
How many people search Google, Yahoo and MSN each day... Read More
1. Save up to 50% per month on convenience cleaner... Read More
The four main steps in building a wealth cycle foundation... Read More
Everyone wants to be wealthy. Only a few actually achieve... Read More
Feng shui coins can allow you, among other things, to... Read More
Giving and ReceivingIt seems that people generally find it easy... Read More
Are you setting the right money goals?Most people believe having... Read More
Look at Forbes' top 10 United States wealthiest people. Notice... Read More
"If you know how to spend less than you get,... Read More
Wealth Building |